zdnet[.]com/article/is-windows-10-too-popular-for-its-own-good/
My own take that I've posted previously, is that Microsoft would not want [maybe desperately] the negative PR from sending maybe a billion PCs & laptops to the world's landfills. IMHO they'd have to come up with some potential solution. Ed Bott's take is that instead of tossing their PCs & laptops in the trash, a huge number of users will just keep using them as long as they still work. Without security updates, we could see a repeat of the chaos & damage caused by WannaCry to all those Win7 devices that lost support 3 years earlier. He feels *That* would be the PR hit Microsoft would be [desperately] unwilling to suffer. As Ed points out, Microsoft did extend support on XP, and on Win7, though only for corp users that time, so there's precedent. And when XP & Win7 reached EOL, in most cases it was no big deal to upgrade to Win10. While Win11 would *probably* run on that older hardware, most people would not be willing &/or able to use one of the hacks that allow Win11 to install.